Sunday, November 22, 2020

Being Critical vs. Being Harsh

First of all, here's wishing everyone a happy Thanksgiving!  I'm going to keep doing this, because I'll probably forget that I have done it already.

There are many things that Trump has done, which we do not like, but which look to him (and to a lot of Republicans) as, "Well, this is how he (Trump) wants to do it, and, they are really just choices, aren't they?"  Some of these things are really outlandish, such as Giuliani wanting Pennsylvania to not certify the election; I really hope it will not work.  Every Pennsylvania election is liable to have challenges to them, if the losing side keeps looking at them the way Trump and Giuliani do.  What are we to do: wire the brains of each voter to Trump's personal computer?

I must go on the record that, on principle, I do not approve of humiliating public figures, or even humiliating anybody, really; at least generally.  Half the country really wants Trump to take strong leadership in dealing with the COVID epidemic.  In the end, Trump has judged whether, and how, to do this from the point of personal public relations, and not really whether he can be effective.  He figures: if I get serious, and ask for sacrifices, I might be remembered as "COVID Trump" at election time.  It's too much of a risk.  He wants his face to be always remembered as "So much Winning!" Trump.

Well, this is a reasonable fear.  It is quite possible that Biden might be remembered as COVID Biden.  Not as the man who shivered in fear of COVID, but a man who took it seriously.  Biden might end up fighting COVID for three years, leaving him almost no time to do even the simplest things on the Green New Deal, of which everyone is so pathetically frightened.  (We must look at it again another time.)

Anyway, a very dear family friend drew one of her very first cartoons, digging at Trump's continued insistence that we have the COVID epidemic almost licked.

Conservatives might well take exception to the tone of this cartoon, but I'll bet it is a lot gentler than almost any political cartoon in any newspaper this year!

Talking about being gentle.  Go look at Jimmy Kimmel's interview of Barack Obama.  There were lots of opportunity for Obama to humiliate Trump as Trump is dismissive of Obama.  But Obama never goes there.  He is critical, for certain.  But is not humiliating.  Trump does not know how to do that; it was the way he was brought up.  Reading what his sister (a retired judge, evidently) and his niece (a psychologist) say, the family culture was not as depraved as Trump's personal culture has been.

Arch


Thursday, November 19, 2020

Our Friends: We Must Restore Our Relationships


I know that something must be written about this, but I don’t know exactly what.

At the time I write this, Mr. Trump appears to have backed away from believing that he had won the election—though he still claims publicly that it was a stolen election.  Republicans are beginning to wonder whether it makes sense to believe Mr. Trump, or to believe the election commissions in each of the states that are in question.  These commissions are often bi-partisan in make-up, and their leadership is very professional.  (I know a little bit about them, because my wife was co-opted into helping the election effort for the county in which she works—in another capacity.)  At the moment, this election is being considered one of the most successfully run election in the past couple of decades, despite being conducted during an epidemic.

Now, for several years, Iand many of you—have gotten into the habit of labeling anything that some people say as lies.  In actuality, we should not have been doing this, but, hey, these past few years have been so difficult to get through that we had to take logical short cuts, and we could not waste time trying to think why some of our friends were saying things that were untrue.  But we cannot simply go on labeling them effectively as habitual liars; the time has come to look behind the lies, and behind the apparent lies.

A statement can be a lie for many, many reasons, and I’m going to try and list some of them.  I can do this more or less automatically (to begin with) because I taught basic logic for several years, and there are some mechanical reasons why a statement is false.  (A statement someone makes may be false unintentionally.  This is the hard thing to deal with.  I’m not going to address that problem directly.)

The most common reason we would disbelieve someone’s statement is the most difficult one to address: all our statements are based on a whole set of background statements that we sort of think of as being included with our statements.  For instance: The World is Round; The Sky is Blue; People Mostly Tell the Truth; COVID is not like most other Viruses; and so on.  We consider these axiomatic; we accept these without question, and we don’t expect to have to prove them, or justify them.  They’re “obvious”; this means that when someone makes a statement, those background statements are supposed to be understood.  Some people don't know which set of background statements to understand, so they assume they're the ones they use themselves.  Now, if individual A says something to individual B, and A's set of axioms is different from B's set of axioms, B is not going to interpret the statement the way that A intended.  So, as far as A knew, he or she was telling the truth; but it could seem to B that A is lying.

For example, suppose A thinks the world is round.  Most people who do (believe the world is round) use the word “Straight Line” to mean a tiny bit of a circle, when they’re talking about the surface of the Earth.  (Not just any old circle; an enormous Great Circle, whose center is at the center of the Earth.  Tiny bits of such a huge circle looks very much like a line segment, and most of us think of them as such.)  Suppose B, in contrast, believes that the Earth is flat.  Suppose A, quite innocently, tells B that, if you set out in any direction, and you go far enough, you come right back to where you started.  B, of course, thinks: wow, what a thumping great whopper that is; what has he been smoking?

The second most common reason for a sentence to be labeled False by its intended audience is just as subtle: the meanings we attach to pivotal words are not always universally agreed upon.  It may be, for instance, some people might say The Media, and mean the local evening TV news.  Some others might include the newspapers, Facebook, YouTube, and Fox News.  Others may only mean The New York Times.  So any statement about The Media may or may not be true, depending on what The Media is to you.  Now, that’s a fairly obvious example.  But if you think hard, you can list literally hundreds of words that are being used differently by different people, and if you include phrases, there are thousands more.  For instance, Black Lives Matter is understood to mean some very varied things, depending on the person.  So do the words Terrorist, Socialist, Racist, The Law, and so on.  Even such loaded things as Pro-Choice can mean horrible things to some people, while others think it is perfectly reasonable.

A case in point is: ‘The Election Was Stolen!’  Democrats consider that this means that there was ballot-stuffing, and dead people voting, and all the usual stuff that Republicans talk about, but probably do not do.  (Of course there are some marginal people who would do anything, but luckily for everyone, it can’t be easily done on a scale that makes a difference to the election.)  Some Republicans probably mean that the Democrats convinced certain Republicans to vote for Biden.  Is that stealing?  That would be twisting words to have unintended meanings.  Trump clearly meant by “stealing” that, because of the large volume of mail-in ballots—which he was not expecting—that many states changed from Red to Blue while he was busy celebrating.  Some people would call that situation theft, simply because it was unexpected.  Maybe I’m thinking up excuses for Trump simply because it is repugnant to think that we had a president for four years who was an out-and-out liar, and no better than the presidents of certain South American marginal democracies.  Furthermore, I firmly believe that some Trumpian jokes have been taken seriously, and labeled lies.  Come on, people; learn to take a joke. 

Finally:That was then, this is now.  This principle is used by people who make careless statements that they don’t really plan to stand behind, at least, not for very long.  The meaning of the phrase is that, "Well the conditions under which I said that made it true; but times and conditions have changed."  Unfortunately, the ideas in the head of the speaker might also have changed, so that a more accurate description of the problem would be "I have changed my mind about that," or "Now my friends have the White House, not your friends!"  It’s a variation on that principle that made Lindsay Graham support the nomination of a replacement for Ruth Bader Ginsberg, just a few weeks before the election.  And that’s perversely reasonable, because when the Senate and the White House are from the same Party, the whole process moves more expeditiously, and in fact was completed in mere weeks, whereas Obama’s nominee would have had quite a fight getting endorsed by the Senate of that time. 

That’s all for now; I can’t think of any other distinct mechanisms that would lead to misunderstanding, except to extend these three principles above to more general situations.

But now I’m going to get personal.  Trump keeps saying he wants to Make America Great Again.  I don’t really think he invented that phrase, but let’s give him the benefit of the doubt.  What does it mean?  (1) America Used to be Great; (2) America Is Not Great Anymore.

One way in which, for me, America has been a lot greater than it seems to be now, is: when I was young, if someone said something, I would believe that he or she meant it.  Most of the people I know are still that way: they don’t say something they don’t mean.  But doubt has been creeping in; we’ve gotten used to assuming that some people just lie all the time, particularly when they’re on certain subjects.

This is going to have to change, starting right now.  As a first step, we should stop attacking those who seem to be lying.  (Many liberals and Democrats just hold their heads and walk away, which is better than being belligerent.)  Most of all, we ought to model reasonable behavior for the kids, because kids are very quick to imitate their adults.  An America where all the kids of conservatives disbelieve and attack all the kids of liberals will not be great.  Just as not great for conservatives as it will be not great for liberals.

Arch, wanting America to be Truly Great Again!

Tuesday, November 3, 2020

Anxiety

One problem that early voters have had, I'm just guessing, is that they have already cast their ballots, and do not have the opportunity to discharge some of their tension by voting on Election Day itself.  All they can do is watch the news with great frustration, or just go about their work, because it is a working day.  (It shouldn't be.)

I have downgraded my status from Atheist to Agnostic.  (My beliefs have not changed, but I thought it sounded a little less arrogant.)

You know, the Anglicans have a tiny sliver in their liturgy that is called the collect.  It is a very short prayer, tailored to the occasion, intended to collect everyone's thoughts, just for a few moments.  I was never an Anglican, but I used to follow many young ladies to church, with impure thoughts in my head!

I decided that I would compose a collect for today, appropriate to my status.

I haven't really beat anybody up in a long time, but it certainly gets across a more lighthearted tone!  So here goes nothing,

Arch


Sunday, November 1, 2020

We Vote (DAY AFTER-) Tomorrow!

All these last several weeks, some folks—whose main occupation seems to be thinking about the political situation—have been driving themselves distracted, worrying about what the outcome of the election will be; will Trump win a second term; will the Democrats win a majority in the Senate; will they maintain a majority in the House, what will the State Houses look like after the election, and so on.

All we can do is go out and vote, and then worry about what to do next.

There are a number of things that we ought to worry about—after the elections:

* How to eliminate, or strongly reduce, the role of money in politics.

* How to deal with this problem of Gerrymandering, which is particularly bad in Pennsylvania.

* How to get people back to work, given that there is a highly contagious virus in our environment.

* How to get—and keep—school-age and college-age youth's minds sharp, given that conventional classes are really not an option—even though some Democrats seem to support a return to school.

* How to stem the tide of the GOP's little presents to the 1%, and to the business community generally.

* How to deal with the incoming tide of immigrants from the South, without being cruel or harsh.

And—

* How to deal with the Corona Virus, and COVID-19.

But first we have to vote, and verify that there is indeed a strong leaning towards the Democrats in this election; so much so that the entire Republican Party is bearing the brunt of people's dissatisfaction with how political business has been conducted in the last several years.

As one writer wrote (quoting Senator Ben Sasse [R Nevada]), Trump seems to have viewed the Presidency as a business opportunity.  There is no legal means for us to combat such an attitude, except to vote him out.  There have been numerous instances where Trump has shown a lack of understanding about what is expected in a President.  As far as we can tell, he seems to be thinking: what's in it for me?

Even without the problems with Trump's deafness to voices of conventional rectitude, the GOP has had his back for four years.  They defended him against the impeachment, and they watched while Trump subverted the Justice Department and the State Department, and made them instruments of the Trump so-called Empire.  It will take a long time to repair the damage done to the administrative agencies of government, and even longer to repair the damage, and build back the public's trust in those agencies.  The Democrats are considering a number of constitutional amendments that will block some of the moves that a president might take, inspired by the example of Donald Trump.  Another analyst says that what is most worrisome is that another nominee will arise, whose objective would be to do more of what Trump did, but do it more ruthlessly, and more competently.  This is a frightening thought.

In some ways, things are beginning to look like a pendulum.  Sometimes pendulums are such that if there is a swing in one direction, there is a bigger swing in the opposite direction.  (Little kids know this, by riding on swings, and pumping their legs.)  Perhaps Trump was made possible by Obama's great success.  If Trump makes possible a huge landslide towards the Democrats, they must be careful about not overplaying their hand.  An even bigger swing towards the Republicans next time around, will be very unpleasant for everyone, especially minorities and women.

We must be careful to moderate the propensity of some among us to take retaliation against the conservatives.  There is the possibility that some anti-social elements might respond to the results of the election by destroying the property of the winning side, especially if they're marked with Biden-Harris stickers, and so on.  If Biden-Harris win, the best we can do to the frustrated Alt-Right is—for a few days—pretend that they do not exist.

Arch

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